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Alexander Mercouris: The Political Legitimacy Crisis Across Europe | Glenn Diesen Transcript

Polished transcript · Glenn Diesen · 16 May 2026 · @diesel

Alexander Mercouris on the political legitimacy crisis unfolding across Europe

Glenn Diesen interviews Alexander Mercouris about the deepening political and economic crises across Europe and Britain.

Summary

Glenn Diesen interviews Alexander Mercouris, host of The Duran and the Alexander Mercouris podcast, about the widening political legitimacy crisis across Europe. Mercouris argues that European political elites have become so consumed by foreign policy — specifically the conflict in Ukraine and European integration — that they have lost the ability to address accumulating domestic problems, producing growing public anger and political volatility. He describes Britain as a particularly acute case, with Prime Minister Keir Starmer so focused on Ukraine that he has become known colloquially as "Never Here Kia," while the economy has stagnated since the 2008 financial crisis and living standards have flatlined or fallen. Mercouris warns that the political system's refusal to adapt — including moves to ban or investigate opposition parties such as Germany's AfD — is creating a pressure-cooker dynamic that risks producing sudden, disorderly political change rather than gradual reform. He argues that Europe's only viable path forward requires reaching some form of understanding with Russia, which he describes as the essential gateway to Eurasia, and that the longer this is delayed, the closer Europe moves to a point of no return.

Key Takeaways

  • Europe's political elites are consumed by foreign policy at the expense of domestic governance. Mercouris argues that leaders across Europe — Starmer in Britain, Merz in Germany, and others — are so focused on Ukraine and relations with Russia that they have lost interest in and capacity to address serious domestic economic and social problems, which is the primary driver of falling approval ratings and rising public anger.
  • Britain faces a particularly severe version of this crisis. Having de-industrialized in the 1980s and over-invested in financial services, Britain was exposed by the 2008 financial crisis as a one-dimensional economy. Since then, living standards have stagnated, debt has risen, and the budget and trade deficits have widened — yet the political class remains more closed to these realities than almost anywhere else in Europe.
  • The political system's refusal to adapt risks producing explosive, disorderly change. Mercouris describes the situation as a pressure cooker: anger is building across British and European society, but the political system is unresponsive. He warns this could eventually produce radical political movements and sudden, destabilizing change rather than the incremental reform he would prefer.
  • Moves against opposition parties signal a legitimacy crisis, not strength. The attempt to ban or classify Germany's AfD as extremist, the use of lawfare against Marine Le Pen in France, and the prosecution of a British barrister for a courtroom defense speech are, in Mercouris's view, signs of a political system that cannot adapt through normal means and is resorting to repressive tools — a classic indicator of a legitimacy crisis.
  • European talk of diplomacy with Russia lacks genuine conviction or preparation. Despite months of rhetoric about the need for negotiations, European leaders have not agreed on a negotiating representative, have not defined realistic objectives, and have not demonstrated willingness to listen to the Russian position. Mercouris argues that sending envoys to Moscow to repeat the same talking points is not diplomacy but a one-way monologue.
  • Russia is the essential gateway for Europe into Eurasia, and the window is closing. Mercouris argues that Europe's economic future depends on integrating into the broader Eurasian economic space, and that Russia controls the entry point to that space. He notes that Putin, once among the most Europe-oriented figures in the Kremlin, now appears bitter toward Europe, and that Russian strategic thinking is increasingly oriented toward China and India rather than Europe.
  • Europe chose the wrong fork in the road, and time to correct course is running out. Mercouris agrees with Diesen's framing that Europe could have thrived as the western peninsula of greater Eurasia by diversifying economic ties and making peace with Russia after the Cold War. Instead, it doubled down on the American alliance even as US interest in Europe waned. He argues Europe is now living on borrowed time, though he does not believe the point of no return has yet been reached.
  • Cautious optimism remains possible. With a political crisis in Britain, a crisis in Germany, and French elections approaching, Mercouris suggests that change may come faster than expected — but stresses that Europe must adapt to a post-American world or risk becoming a marginalized backwater no longer recognized as a driver of global progress.
  • FULL TRANSCRIPT

    Introduction and the common thread across European politics

    Glenn Diesen: We are joined today by Alexander Mercouris, the host of The Duran and also host of the Alexander Mercouris podcast. Thank you for coming back on the program.

    Alexander Mercouris: Delighted to be here, Glenn.

    Glenn Diesen: I'm always impressed by your detailed knowledge and focus on European politics. I wanted to ask you about what's happening in British politics because it seems quite unprecedented what we're observing. But first I thought a good place to start might be the common thread across European politics, because there does seem to be a denationalized political elite which tends to ignore very basic national interest — an excessive focus on foreign policy or war — and this is fueling economic and political problems. We see low approval ratings, undermining of political opposition. What is it that you're seeing across Europe at the moment?

    Alexander Mercouris: Well, I think you've described the situation exactly correctly, and the crisis in Britain is related precisely to this. One of the reasons why we have a political crisis in Britain is because there is a perception that the political leadership in Britain — and the current Prime Minister Starmer is no exception — is narrowly focused on what is euphemistically called foreign policy, except it's not even properly speaking foreign policy, not in the classical sense of the word. What they're really focused on is Russia, the conflict in Ukraine, and the wider process of European integration. The elites in Europe, and Britain is no exception, have as a consequence been losing interest in and ability to understand the actual accumulating problems within their own countries. And it is this that is creating increasing political volatility.

    If we're talking about Starmer, one of the terms he's referred to by here is "Never Here Kia," because he's constantly traveling around the world, mostly worrying about Ukraine. And I think that basically says it all. There's a wide sense that he's fundamentally disengaged and uninterested in the problems of the British people and in the very big, growing, intractable problems that face Britain overall.

    The end of Starmer and the rise of Farage

    Glenn Diesen: Is the day of Starmer coming to an end, and how do you see the next election changing British politics? Because now we're looking at possibly Nigel Farage himself taking the role of prime minister.

    Alexander Mercouris: Well, this again goes back to your original point about a Europe-wide elite that continues to be focused very much on these things. Starmer himself is not an exception to the rule — he is the rule. He is absolutely typical of all the others. You could see this with Friedrich Merz in Germany, who's mostly focused on rearmament to fight Russia and supporting Ukraine. You see this with one politician after another — Frederiksen in Denmark, the various leaders in the Netherlands, Poland, and wherever. They're overwhelmingly focused on these issues.

    If we're talking about Starmer, yes, probably we are gradually moving towards the end of the time when he will remain prime minister. But for the moment, the established political elite remains in place. And what they're trying to do is get rid of Starmer and find someone who will be exactly the same as Starmer but somehow a little bit more popular. Which is why this crisis is becoming so complicated and so intractable — because there isn't anybody basically who could take over, continue to do the things that Starmer is doing, and become popular in a way that Starmer is not.

    As for Farage and Reform, well, Farage comes from outside the elite that we've just been talking about. He has in the past suggested changes to British foreign policy. He wrote pieces, for example, in which he suggested that the war in Ukraine had indeed been provoked by actions taken by the West. But the closer he gets to power itself, the less he talks in this way and the more he starts to talk like the elite does — about foreign policy, about relations with Russia, about the overall situation in Europe. And one gets the sense that in the end he is not going to be the person who has the political authority or the political skill to carry out that major sea change in British policy that is needed. For one thing, he's far too interested in attracting support from members of the elite, from members of the former Conservative Party who are defecting to him, and he doesn't want to scare them away by seeming too radical about foreign policy. The link between foreign policy and the crisis in domestic policy is not, I think, one that he understands.

    The structural economic crisis in Britain

    Glenn Diesen: Well, this has been a common theme in the United States and Europe — it seems that you can vote for whomever you want, you can put someone else on the throne, but eventually you can't change the policies. Not just with Trump, but Meloni as well became a good example of this. The Italians always speak about the Meloni of the election and the one who took power thereafter as very different people. But of course these very unpopular leaderships — the reason why they're all plummeting in the polls across Europe is because there is a crisis they're not actually pursuing the basic national interest, and this isn't going away even if Farage takes over. So where do you see Britain going? Because at some point the economic problems will have to impact foreign policy as well.

    Alexander Mercouris: We are in a particularly difficult situation because in some respects our problems are particularly intractable. Britain in the 1980s perhaps over-invested in its financial system. It was the first European country to basically de-industrialize its economy, to move away from manufacturing as the core of a western economy. It went heavily into financial services. It also depended heavily on oil from the North Sea to cover costs. And the result was that when the 2008 financial crisis came, Britain was exposed as a one-dimensional economy that lacked the necessary strategic depth to absorb the problem.

    So what we have had since 2008 is a very long period of economic stagnation. Living standards have been flat or falling. Output has been basically flat. Debt levels have been rising as costs that governments have to pay continue to grow but the economy doesn't grow at the same pace. Taxes are rising, and the current account, the budget deficit, and the trade deficit constantly widen. So we have this major problem in Britain which is greater and more severe than what you will find elsewhere in Europe.

    At the same time, for historic reasons, we have become even more boxed into this foreign policy consensus than perhaps is true in other European countries. So there is no equivalent, for example, to the AfD in Britain, where you do see people engaging in alternative ideas and programs. We have nothing like Le Pen and the National Rally, or Mélenchon and these left-wing forces which also challenge these ideas. There's no one like Salvini, who is deputy prime minister in Italy, carries some authority, and argues against these things. So we have a particularly intractable set of problems which require solution and a lot of attention, and we have a political class which is perhaps even more closed to these realities than you find elsewhere in Europe.

    This is creating growing tensions and growing exasperation on the part of the British public. Many people are saying that for the first time they sense an atmosphere of anger within wider British society. If you go to the British media, you find that word "anger" all over the place, and this is the cause of it. The danger is that because the political system here is proving so unresponsive, it's like a pressure cooker with this anger increasing all the time. And we might eventually see the pressure cooker explode. That could throw up political movements and political forces which we can't yet see but which could be much more radical than anything we have seen up to now — with levels of political change happening in Britain very suddenly and very sharply, which are not going to be moderated by consensus and which might be in the long term extremely destabilizing. I've spoken about this as being an almost pre-revolutionary situation, and this is basically the reason why.

    Germany's legitimacy crisis and the targeting of the AfD

    Glenn Diesen: No, we're not quite in 1848 yet, but it does feel that political legitimacy is undergoing a crisis to the extent it can't hold on anymore. At some point, as you said, the pressure cooker can only go so far. But I'm glad you mentioned Germany, because they do have other alternatives — the Alternative for Germany, which is now the most popular party in the polls, quite remarkable given it was only established around 2012 or 2013. But in this regard we do see that the German chancellor Merz is even less popular than Starmer. What's happened to Germany is quite remarkable, because after the Second World War Germany rebuilt its whole image — it was becoming less engaged in wars, it would be the economy driving Europe forward, German leaders were meeting the Russians and overcoming history. All of these things defined Germany and rubbed off on what Europe was supposed to represent. We're seeing a very different Germany today — de-industrializing, massive economic problems, a political legitimacy crisis — and as this is happening we're also seeing the targeting of the opposition, using the intelligence services against the AfD by referring to it as an extremist organization. And of course Merz himself said that Israel was doing the dirty work for us when they attacked Iran, and now they're working on mass-producing drones and missiles so they can attack Russia. This is a very different Germany than we saw in the 1990s and even thereafter. How sustainable is this?

    Alexander Mercouris: It is intensifying, and it's important to stress that all of these things — the talk about banning the AfD, the restrictions on speech and assembly — in Britain, incredibly, and it's received far too little attention, a lawyer who successfully defended his clients in court, clients who came from a protest group that had protested against some of the events taking place in Gaza, was prosecuted after successfully defending his clients on a charge of contempt of court on the basis of the defense speech that he made in court. And it then became, for a time, contempt of court — which is a criminal offense that can carry a sentence of five years — to report the fact that this trial was taking place. It seems incredible, but we are in these kinds of situations. The barrister, I should say, was acquitted. He won the case. But the point is that all of these things are manifestations of increasing insecurity and nervousness on the part of the political system.

    Talking about banning the AfD, having it investigated by the security services — all of that is a sign of a political system that can't bring itself to change its policies, won't adapt to the coming change, and which is pushing back in the only way that it feels it still can, by using these repressive and administrative tools. When you're talking about banning your most popular party and investigating it in this kind of way, you are looking at a potential crisis. It is clearly an indicator of a major legitimacy crisis, and a legitimacy crisis for which we have no real compass to take us through.

    You're absolutely right — and this is about Germany, by the way, and this is a fundamental difference between Germany and Britain — because in Germany, they're going against the grain of their recent history, which is to seek a peaceful, stable Europe, a stable relationship with Russia, close economic contacts with Russia, Ostpolitik, and all of these policies that go back to the 1960s. In Britain it is the other way round. It is almost a surfeit of policy, because here the founding myth of British foreign policy is Churchill in 1940, and that's always what people talk about — profoundly misunderstood, by the way — and want to revert to. But the effect is the same. You have a legitimacy crisis in Britain. You have a legitimacy crisis in Germany. It's going to gradually expand across Europe.

    To be absolutely clear, it's not something I want to see or feel comfortable about at all. I don't want to see disorderly, chaotic change. I want to see an orderly change of policies as the system adapts to circumstances and is sensitive to movements in opinion, which is the kind of political system that I grew up with. But it's a reflection of the very brittle system that we have today, which has become very inflexible and very incapable of adapting, and which is now in this crisis. I don't myself know exactly how things are going to play out, but I will say this: in Germany as in Britain, it is unsustainable.

    Smaller European countries and the limits of their agency

    Glenn Diesen: I also prefer slower incremental changes, but that's the problem when one holds back — you're no longer able to reform, and also when that legitimacy drops and opposition emerges and they're held back or even attacked, the problems aren't solved. It's just the pressure builds up and you ensure that once the changes come, they will be more disorderly and disruptive. But of course when you speak of Germany and Britain, you could put France in the same category. Macron will hold on to power almost irrespective of how people vote, and he also used lawfare against the opposition — Le Pen. But what do you see happening in the more medium to small-sized European countries? Because we did see them essentially cancel the election results in Romania, but this seems to be falling apart. They had a new election in Bulgaria. Hungary — getting rid of Orbán was celebrated a bit too prematurely because it doesn't look like the changes will be that profound. And of course Slovakia is still holding the line. So it's not as if it's just the larger countries in the EU.

    Alexander Mercouris: Yes, the smaller countries are still showing more political agency and vitality, probably because as they're relatively small, they don't have the elaborate security states that the bigger countries do, and they are less invested in the system than the bigger states are. And in a smaller country, it's easier for people to organize because there's less of a challenge to organize in a small country than in a big one where you need to organize on a much bigger scale.

    The problem is that the small countries can only do so much. In order for there to be a change in overall direction, the bigger countries in Europe have to be involved — Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Britain. They are the countries that ultimately decide the direction of European policy, not Slovakia or Malta or Croatia or Slovenia or Hungary or Bulgaria or those sorts of places. So the small countries are important because they do provide a counter and they provide scope for dialogue and activism, but we have to look for change in the big countries before change will happen.

    European diplomacy with Russia — rhetoric without conviction

    Glenn Diesen: As you said, a lot of the foreign policy obsession is of course with Russia, and this further creates problems for the economies of Europe. But there seems to be some change in rhetoric — not something that's gained significant momentum, but after more than four years of essentially arguing that weapons are the path to peace and boycotting diplomacy, which seems to be part of this wider strategy of fighting to the last Ukrainian, we now see some talk about perhaps the need to speak to the other side. Given that they all more or less agreed not to do any diplomacy and criminalized it, it's perhaps a bit difficult to walk all of this back. The Finnish president Stubb made the point that it's time to talk to Russia, at least that's what's reported in the Washington Post. But do you see this going anywhere, or is this just a discussion about who's going to talk and what can we talk about?

    Alexander Mercouris: You see, this is where it becomes so particularly frustrating. Yes, events are now beginning to press on them. They are aware of a deteriorating economic situation in their societies. They are aware that their people are becoming restive. They are nervous and insecure about their own control. I sometimes wonder how much they really understand about the situation in Ukraine and about the direction of the war. I sometimes get the sense that they are completely detached from reality about it. But maybe some of them have some glimmers of understanding that the war isn't going well and that the much longed-for victory over Russia isn't going to happen.

    But the problem is that even when events force them towards the logical conclusion that diplomacy with the Russians is essential, you get the sense that their heart isn't in it and they don't really have enormous conviction behind it. Because they've been talking about this now for several months — it really got underway in December around the time of the arguments over the loan to Ukraine — but we're now in May. They haven't yet agreed even on the person who's going to lead the negotiations with the Russians. They've not really come up with proposals that they can talk with the Russians about or even go to Moscow and share ideas. They show no real interest in listening to what the Russians have to say. We had this disastrous episode when Macron sent two of his people to Moscow and the Russians found that they were being lectured all over again, hearing the same talking points that they always hear. And the Russians said, what's the point of all of this? This isn't a negotiation, it's just a one-way dialogue — a dialogue of the deaf, basically.

    So they don't seem to be able — even if they've intellectually understood, or some of them have understood, the inevitability of talking to the Russians — to do the things that they need to do in order to move forward with any prospect of success. They've not even defined realistically what their objective in this conflict is anymore. Is it to defeat Russia? How do you defeat Russia now? Is it to fight the Russians to a standstill? What does that even mean? Is it to try to adapt to the possibility of a Russian victory? Whatever that is. But again, they've not had a discussion about that. So given that there is really fundamental agreement about nothing, it's very difficult to see these proposed negotiations moving forward at all. Yes, it is a sign of reality breaking through that they talk about talking to the Russians. But before anything actually concrete happens, they have to accept that just talking to the Russians by itself isn't enough. They have to decide what they're going to talk about and who is going to represent them.

    Glenn Diesen: It's a bit strange to watch, because the Europeans are arguing that they need a seat at the table — it's not fair that this is being discussed by the Americans and the Russians over the heads of the Europeans. So they want a seat at the table, but nobody wants to talk to Russia. And the ones who say perhaps someone like Kaja Kallas should lead the talks — that seems like an effort simply to make sure it doesn't move forward. This is the same Kaja Kallas who said there's no point in talking to Putin, and that Russia should be broken up into many smaller countries because they're easier to manage. I don't see genuine diplomacy coming forth. And even Merz — he seems to go on Twitter quite often, and every time there's a strike by Russia against Ukraine, the argument, not just from him but from other EU leaders as well, is: look what the Russians did, they attacked Ukraine in a big attack, that proves they're not interested in a negotiated settlement. But these are the same people who refuse to even pick up the phone and talk to the other side. When they say negotiations, they seem to believe it's capitulation — that if Russia wants peace, it should stop all attacks and essentially give up its leverage. And this doesn't make any sense when the Europeans only want a ceasefire to regroup and replenish Ukrainian arms.

    Sometimes I think about 2022, because when this big consensus came that we should all boycott diplomacy, Macron was among the last ones to fall in line. He tried for a bit afterwards to keep the dialogue with the Russians. And I remember they reported in the news then as well that Macron made the statement that it might be important to talk to Russia, that the future of Europe should not be decided in Washington or Moscow, so we have to be engaged. I thought that made a lot of sense. But of course he fell in line like everyone else, and now he doesn't want to talk to the Russians either.

    Alexander Mercouris: It is incredible to watch. And we come back to what we were talking about with the domestic crisis. The domestic legitimacy crises that we see across Europe are to a great extent a product of this kind of mindset. You don't adapt to realities. You don't adapt to the economic realities, the foreign policy realities, the social changes that are taking place within your society. You insist that your values must prevail, and they always talk about values and retreat into that language, which again precludes any real way out of the trap they've put themselves into. And they comfort themselves from time to time — they say the war isn't going so well for the Russians, things are a bit slower now, that means they're at a standstill. They hide behind this wishful thinking because they can't bring themselves to break with the line that they all chose to take, including Macron eventually, in 2022.

    2022 is going to be looked back on as an extraordinary year. It's going to be seen as a year when the first step towards disaster was taken. We in the West could have adapted to the changes — the results of what happened in the war and the economic changes. But our refusal to do so has basically doomed us to a major crisis which is inevitably coming. And the Americans for their part are becoming exasperated and frustrated and are now showing signs of walking away. And the Russians look like they've been increasingly antagonized.

    Europe's long-term economic stagnation and structural decline

    Glenn Diesen: I see the media now across Europe being filled with similar headlines — they're going back to the idea that Ukraine is winning, suggesting that the tide has already turned, and of course Putin is shivering in his boots, and Putin is sick again and dying, this kind of news which comes up every now and then when there's a need to reassure the public that we can actually win. All the corruption problems in Ukraine are being spun in parts of Europe now as well — look, it means that people are held accountable, democracy is working — which is again a hope strategy. If you can just socially construct the world as you wish it was, then perhaps it will come true.

    But a lot of this desperation and mass hysteria in Europe does appear to derive partly from where Europe has lost its place in the world. It's no longer the junior partner of the US. They don't collectively — the political West anymore — have the same cohesion that formed the unipolar liberal hegemony. And indeed you have this economic decline which also fuels the desperation. So how do you see this long-term stagnation? What are the main structural causes behind it?

    Alexander Mercouris: And can I just say — all that you say is not only true, but it is particularly true of Britain, because of course Britain exited the Second World War as still a global power, a great power, as an important ally of the United States, a country with very powerful armed forces and the world's third biggest industrial base. And the entire operative assumption in Britain is that we are still a great power, despite the fact that we've fallen back from all of these positions. So there is this idea — privately, of course, widely understood — that we are losing our position, we are now in extreme descent, and somehow that must mean we must cling even more tightly to that element of our position as a great power which we still have, which is somehow the struggle with Russia.

    Where does this leave Europe? In a very big, very difficult, very bad situation overall. Europe has become very accustomed — not just in the 20th century and the 19th century but basically for hundreds of years — to being the cockpit of humanity: the major place where human progress takes place, where living standards are highest, where economic change is most dynamic, where science and technology are promoted most vigorously, where philosophical thought and culture and art are at their most vital. And now what we are facing is the real possibility that we might become a backwater. And that is something that is very alarming and very disturbing, not just for European elites but I suspect deep down for much of the wider European population, which is probably starting to sense this — which also explains some of this legitimacy issue.

    Now, it doesn't have to be that way. One of the reasons why Europe became so important in the first place was precisely because it was flexible, precisely because it did diplomacy, precisely because it had pragmatic approaches to economic policy. It's the fact that all of that has fallen away — the mindset that we've just been talking about — which is threatening Europe with marginalization. Whether we have the will and the imagination and the vitality left in Europe to turn it round is going to be a very big question. But in order to turn it round, we have to understand one absolutely vital truth: we have to come to some kind of understanding with the Russians. The Russians are part of Europe. They're a major part of Europe. They made a major contribution to European culture. But even putting that aside, we simply cannot afford the drain of an unending confrontation with them. It's sapping our energy and it is destabilizing our societies. Given how some people in Europe feel about Russia, it's going to be a very difficult thing for them to understand.

    Europe as the western peninsula of Eurasia — the fork in the road

    Glenn Diesen: This is the problem though. There doesn't seem to be any imagination or willingness to try to overcome this obsession with having to defeat the Russians. It's quite extreme, because I've asked people as well: what exactly does this mean? How do you defeat the world's largest nuclear power that considers itself to be in a fight for its existence? This is a very dangerous thing to do. But what is the possible way for Europe to break out of this?

    You mentioned that the British might fear going from being the center of the world in economic activity to suddenly becoming a backwater. There's an interesting German strategy paper that came out in 2010 which warned essentially that we have to do something to make sure that we won't simply become the western peninsula of the Eurasian continent. I actually thought that was a nice framing — I stole that phrase and made a title out of it in my book, calling it Europe as the western peninsula of greater Eurasia. But I was making the point that this would actually be a solution for the Europeans, because if you have a multipolar world emerging, the US is not the only power left, Europe is no longer the center, it could thrive if it would diversify its economic ties and work with everyone. But I also made the point about the opposite choice — the Europeans can also, when the US declines, bet everything, put all their eggs in the American basket even though America doesn't want to be in Europe anymore, and hope that they can revive unipolarity and America will regain an interest in Europe. But that would just ensure their destruction. It feels to me that we've gone with the second option here. But is it too late? Is it too late for Europe to make some fundamental changes? It's been decades of ignoring technological sovereignty, political autonomy. We wasted 35 years after the Cold War which we could have made peace with the Russians. Instead we're building new bloc politics. So many years have been wasted. Do you see any possibility of reversing this, or are we all doomed?

    Alexander Mercouris: Well, the first thing to say is that I must read your book, because it sounds extremely prescient. It describes exactly the fork in the road when we took the wrong fork.

    We do still have time. We remain a very rich continent. We are overall very educated. We have the enormous legacy of cultural and intellectual wealth. But we are living on borrowed time, and it would have been much better if we'd made the right decisions 15 years ago. It is tragic and in some way baffling that we didn't. I think this is actually one of the great questions that needs to be asked: why exactly did we decide to go down what was already the wrong direction? It was possible to see that it would be the wrong direction, because as you absolutely correctly say, becoming the western end of Eurasia is not actually a bad outcome at all. Eurasia is not going to remain a place where Russia is indefinitely poor or China is indefinitely what used to be called a third world country. These are dynamic places. Other parts of Eurasia are dynamic as well. Involving ourselves in these things and coming to them with what we have is a way not just of energizing them but energizing us and shaping the future in our own interests.

    But of course we haven't done that, and finding a way back is going to be much more difficult now than it was 15 years ago, because we've lost so much goodwill in Russia. Putin gave a press conference on Saturday after the Victory Parade, and I pointed out how bitter about Europe he seems to feel. And Putin was almost the most Europeanist figure within the Kremlin, basically. The others are already now looking beyond Europe — they're thinking more about China, they're thinking more about India. And the entire conversation in Russia has been changing too.

    For Europe, getting things sorted out with Russia is essential, because it is Russia that is the entry point for Europe into Eurasia. It's the Russians who control the gateway. They can open the door or they can shut the door. So we absolutely do need to sort things out with the Russians. If we do sort these things out with the Russians, then things can start to turn round and change would become sustained and we would notice visibly the difference. But the longer we leave it, the more difficult it becomes. And though I don't think we are at that point yet, there will come a point when it is the point of no return — when we become so impoverished, so marginalized, that it simply becomes uninteresting for others to involve themselves with us anymore.

    Conformity, decentralization, and the path forward

    Glenn Diesen: Just this reluctance to adjust to reality — this is what's so exhausting to watch, so suffocating. The slogan of always more Europe, everyone has to fall in line. For me, the most remarkable display of this recently was when the Slovak prime minister went to Moscow for the 9th of May parade, and afterwards the German chancellor threatened that he should be punished because he went to Moscow to celebrate the defeat of Nazi Germany. Another German chancellor will punish him. And I thought it's extraordinary, because they don't have any solutions for how to fix relations with Russia, but they did the same to Orbán when he went to Moscow for diplomacy — they decided to punish him.

    And I always think that what you mentioned before about regaining vitality is often found in decentralization. The Greek city-states competed with different economic systems and forms of governance, they experimented and copied what worked. You can say the same was done with the US state system. Europe with all its different states also advanced in this way. But now this mass conformity, even around ridiculous narratives and ideas, is quite destructive. Well, let's see if we can break out of it. Any final thoughts?

    Alexander Mercouris: I mean, I think we shouldn't give way to despair about this. There is time, and I do feel that we are actually close to a tipping point. We have a crisis in Britain, we have a crisis in Germany, there are going to be new elections in France next year. So it may be that change is going to happen and happen faster than we expect. But it must nonetheless be said that we are now on borrowed time. We don't have a huge amount of time to maneuver. Unless we adapt to basically a post-American world, then it won't just be a post-American world — it will be a post-Western world, and one in which we are just a small region that has been left behind and is no longer the great driver that all of us are so accustomed to believing we must be.

    Glenn Diesen: Well, that cautious optimism is usually better than how I usually end this podcast, so I will take it. Thank you very much.

    Alexander Mercouris: Thank you, Glenn.


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